Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.060725 0.072151 0.084985 0.100446 0.118547 0.139044 0.163994
2025-03-23 0.044047 0.058951 0.077617 0.102615 0.135113 0.175819 0.230550
2025-03-30 0.033317 0.049011 0.070427 0.101581 0.145499 0.204917 0.291060
2025-04-06 0.025930 0.041319 0.063890 0.099067 0.152092 0.228512 0.346319
2025-04-13 0.020524 0.035104 0.057895 0.095626 0.155911 0.247668 0.396771
2025-04-20 0.017574 0.032002 0.055853 0.097484 0.167453 0.279093 0.468916
2025-04-27 0.015076 0.029094 0.053499 0.098217 0.176932 0.308029 0.540259
2025-05-04 0.013036 0.026566 0.051285 0.098669 0.185721 0.336530 0.613901
2025-05-11 0.011498 0.024657 0.049809 0.100086 0.196178 0.368802 0.697416
2025-05-18 0.010456 0.023514 0.049538 0.103617 0.210804 0.409869 0.800926
2025-05-25 0.008859 0.020918 0.046001 0.100219 0.211713 0.425843 0.860007
2025-06-01 0.007823 0.019331 0.044237 0.100078 0.218878 0.454180 0.945295
2025-06-08 0.006787 0.017574 0.041891 0.098481 0.223111 0.477790 1.025130
2025-06-15 0.006192 0.016747 0.041458 0.100983 0.236315 0.520902 1.149112
2025-06-22 0.005449 0.015405 0.039626 0.100045 0.241888 0.548880 1.244974
2025-06-29 0.004723 0.013959 0.037303 0.097584 0.243662 0.568912 1.326089
2025-07-06 0.004055 0.012526 0.034766 0.094195 0.242779 0.582951 1.395560
2025-07-13 0.003724 0.011968 0.034354 0.096027 0.254551 0.626516 1.535509
2025-07-20 0.003382 0.011305 0.033560 0.096750 0.263679 0.664979 1.667829
2025-07-27 0.003068 0.010663 0.032712 0.097196 0.272156 0.702801 1.802595
2025-08-03 0.002823 0.010183 0.032239 0.098594 0.283267 0.748124 1.959968
2025-08-10 0.002668 0.009966 0.032494 0.102075 0.300353 0.809914 2.163782
2025-08-17 0.002326 0.009042 0.030486 0.098724 0.298443 0.823865 2.250078